Monday, August 28, 2006

 

Sector Spotlight: Transports

I subscribe to the theory that says where the Transports go, the DOW will soon follow. Therefore, I feel very good about today's action, albeit on light volume, with the Transports up 2%.

Whether its the truckers, shippers or the railroads (I purposely exclude the airlines) they are all up nicely, today.

Bottom line: The health of the Transports instills confidence in money managers to put parked cash to work. I feel this sector (.TRAN) is breaking out; hence, I believe everything but retail is a buy right now. However, economic data due on Friday may derail this rally. Please keep that in mind.

The following Transports are showing some mojo:

CVTI +8%
CLDN +7.8%
PVX +6.8%
ODFL +6.5%
EXM +5%
QLTY +4.9%
JBHT +4.3%
SWFT +4.1%
USAK +4.1%
CHRW +4%
EAGL +4%
ACLI +3.5%
GWR +3.5%

NOTE: Many tech stocks are breaking out today, including RACK (+8.6%) and ANAD (+18.5%). Its also worth noting, a stock that I own, GI, got bought out today by WNR-- for a 14% premium. I feel all the refineries are good buys, especially smaller players, such as: ALJ, DK and HOC.

Comments:
you think the rally will hold beyond this week? I'm wondering if its prudent to buy some puts on possibly overextended tech stocks in case the herd comes back bearish next week? Also perhaps some defensive hedges?
 
I feel as long as the trannies are strong, the market will go up.

However, I am cognizant of seasonality and I hate being long in Sept-Oct. So, protective hedges are ALWAYS a good idea.

I sanction that trade.
 
Would you make any recommendations in this regard?
 
For a sure-fire way to protective hedges, use the major indices.

Buying
MZZ or QID makes sense.

Or, shorting some runaway trains, such as: RACK, ANAD or LVS can work too.

You have to balance between long and short.
 
Post a Comment



<< Home

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?

 Subscribe in a reader

DISCLAIMER: This is a personal web site, reflecting the opinions of its author. It is not a production of my employer, and it is unaffiliated with any FINRA broker/dealer. Statements on this site do not represent the views or policies of anyone other than myself. The information on this site is provided for discussion purposes only, and are not investing recommendations. Under no circumstances does this information represent a recommendation to buy or sell securities.