Wednesday, September 06, 2006

 

Closing Comments

Today, the SOX, Homebuilders, Metals, Networkers, Biotech, Transports and Oil stocks were collectively destroyed.

Classic pullback.

The hottest market sectors move up and down like a convoy, shedding any sense of individuality. This, of course, is nothing new-- despite what Cramer's ETF conspiracy theories warn. It amazes me to hear seasoned vets blame hedge funds, ETF's or Bernanke for market declines.

The market goes down when sentiment is negative. Period.

Now, what sways sentiment is another subject. There are so many factors and variables that affect supply and demand that it is utterly foolish to disseminate simplistic explanations for market adjustments.

Nothing is fact, just theory.

So, is the market now going to knife lower, in order to fulfill the annual September drubbing?

Short answer: ? (I don't know)

All we can do is ensure our portfolio's are properly diversified or hedged. And, be smart about taking on new positions.

Try not to be wasteful with cash reserves.

As for my holdings:

PALM was the beneficiary of a positive research note from Merril. Good job Merril.

UPDATE: PALM just warned. Fuck You Merril.

VSTH sold off hard. I intend on buying more if it dives into the low 9's.

ACLI barely sold off. It is in bull mode.

My dice roll TXCC came up snake eyes, down more than 7%. Fuckers.

And, RACK blessed my holdings, knifing more than 6.5% (I am short RACK).

In all, I had a monster day (sorry). My holdings charged ahead by 3%-- putting my ytd returns at 28.3%.

NOTE: The one silver lining in today's trading was the stability in the banks (-0.18%).

The following stocks had notable upside moves:

EXAS, DTLK, PGWC, HAIN, VVUS, STSI, RDCM, CTIC, PZA, PTT, DDD, COR ,OZN, IMX, WEL, DNE, FRN, SLE, BECN, FLWE, LCBM, HYTM, NFLX, ICCA, LOOK, QPSA, ITRA, WWWW, LQDT, JUPM, GM, ONT, TRBM, WJCI, SNR, SMDI, CBOU, OLED, CTCH, DGIT, QSND, OVEN, PALM, COGO, SANZ, PDSN, LCRD, ITCD, TAR, MTE, OMRI and MA.

The following stocks had notable downside moves:

CACS, EPCT, LGBT, GHDX, RBAK, MSGI, KMAG, COOL, ORCH, FNSR, NURO, EGLT, IVAN, AEHR, WLV, SPC, IN, DRL, NKZ-WT, DHIL, CLMS, LAB, CORS, CASY, PNRA, JSDA, PTMK, ABV, COSI, CHB, TARR, SPF, AXR, MTH, LEV, WCI, WLT, HOV, CTX, RYL, BHS, TOA, EME, GVA, EXP, DHI, MHO, BZH, PHM, FLR, KBH, CTO, GCT, RMIX, CLB, JHX, FWLT, ASEI, PCR, TRN, CX, FLR, RIN, BHP, SWFT, GWR, QLTY, ODFL, EXM, DRYS, RAIL, GBX, REV, BBI, MOVI, ISWI, GMR, TK, SYNM, BQI, XNL, JOYG, PLLL, OXY, GEOI, SUN, ENG, VLO, PKD, STO, ABLE, MRO, IMO, EP, SU, COP, ANR, PTR, DWSN, ECA, BRY, GSF, UPL, USU, TSO, WRES, HOC, ATPG, USEY, QTWW, EPEX, DPTR, EOG, WHQ, DVN, GSX, GLBL, CAM, GDP, HAWK, BEXP, SII, FST, OII, BTJ, AMSC, ESLR, BDCO, HES, EAC, PTEN, ENER, ALJ, DK, LUFK, ACI, HNR, STGN, MAXY, BVX, NRPH, NSTK, ARNA, NPSP, AFFX, AVII, INTC, PCLN, TGLO, WSSI, TFSM, MIVA, ARTG, AMZN, WEBX, MCHX, ELNK, CNVR, XING, OCPI, ATCO, TXCC, TUTS, ZHNE, GLBC, TKO, TLAB, HLIT, FTGX, BKHM, LNOP, MRVC, RACK, MIKR, MSPD, AVCI, VSTH, NETL, JDSU, MRVL, BKRS, SCVL, TWTR, EVST, URBN, ZUMZ, CATS, TRID, PXLW, STX, RNOW, CRM, SWKS, TUNE, NVEC, CNXT, EMKR, AMD, ACTG, SLAB, ATHR, BRCM, KLIC, FORM, NVDA, VSEA, PMCS, IVAC, SIRF, BITS, TIVO, GRMN, LPL, NOK, WFR, ANAD, SNDK, SBAC, TWTC, GLDN, VIV, SURW, IDCC, KONG, TSU, AMX, CELL, EICU, VG, DXPE and PEIX



Comments:
I have to tell you,that I cracked up when I read your PALM note up their,the Thank and the U Know what to Palm,was harlious!!!
 
Fucking Merril Lynch!
 
Got to say that it in AH trade dose not look soo bad,its last at around 14.70ish,which says its only down 25-50 cents from yesterdays close,if this holds tommorow,for you it looks like you come out even-am I right on you cost?
 
I don't like holding stocks after they warn.

My cost is around 15-15.10.

It won't be a disaster. Just annoying.
 
Which company is the SEC ivestigating now? 100 was a number thrown out. This has to be a factor today.
 
what kind of company announces a release of new products then guides sales lower at the same time? Do they have no faith, or are they just stupid? my guess is they're preparing for a soft landing earnings report.
 
Gio,

they guided lower for Q1 which just ended. The sale of all the new products will be geared into Q2. I think that management didn't want their Q1 miss to offset their strong Q2 guidance so they preannounced. By the time CC rolls around, the only surprise will be their strong Q2 expectations.
 
Merril... LOL. Hopefully today was just a one-day wonder. But I supposed everyone on the planet has a Sept-Oct crash in mind and their "buying list" ready for the traditional October bottom...
 
The market acted stupid Wednesday on small volume. I think it was simply the fact that there wasn't much left for the dippers to buy so they had to sell the rips to create some. Looks like they succeeded and that there will be a lot of opportunities for buys on Thursday.

PALM on the other hand has been signalling for a couple of weeks that it is not going to "beat by a penny".

Now for a laugh - put up PALM on a 10 day chart using 2-hour periods with an 8 EMA - it looks just like a butt.
 
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