Friday, September 01, 2006

 

Sector Spotlight: Biotech

So, its been about a week since I put up the "Fly Survey" and, so far, 63% of you are bullish.

Contrarian indicator?

We will see over the next few weeks.

Today, the market looks good. Albeit, the "junior traders" are manning the multi-billion dollar trading desks-- foolishly bidding up prices. Nonetheless, I think the market is poised to go higher.

One sector that I avoid like the plague, but has been steadily trending higher, is the biotech's. Generally, I do not invest in biotech because of the ridiculous, Vegas- style, risk associated with having to get drugs approved by the FDA. However, I know an uptrend when I see one. So, I will focus a little time on re-educating myself on the sector.

The following biotech stocks are showing some mojo:

SVA +6.2%
CELG +3.4%
VRTX +2.8%
YMI +2.3%
IVGN +1.8%
AMLN +1.8%
BIIB +1.3%
AOB +1.3%
OSIP +1.1%
ICOS +1%
AMGN +1%
ONXX +1%

NOTE: Many energy related stocks are up today, despite weakening of the underlying commodities. I would take this opportunity to sell. I feel the sector could get cheaper.

Comments:
how does amgn rank on your seasonality screen for september? What do you like better amgn or dna? thankx
 
This rally smells like a bull trap. Despite this nonsense rally, the Sox is weak but Intel is up. Do you think INTC (one of the most hated stocks on Wall Street) has a chance to move up? There's a bunch of call-leaps that are dirt cheap.

The survey at Ticker Sense had the majority of bloggers vote this week as a bullish week. That's the first time that survey was majority bullish (and they got it right).
 
Gio-

Be careful not to get sucked into the bear camp.

Until we see solid breakdown, I feel the market can go higher.

Despite all the negativity, the market has managed to hold its own this year.
 
thanks
 
DNA:

Sept-
2-5 -2.9%

Best Month:

Dec-
6-1 15.9%

AMGN
Sept-
9-10 +0.1%

Best Month:
Dec-
14-5 +8.7%
 
I voted "bullish", but I'm thinking this day/week's rally on low volume will provide a better buying opportunity next week. That's what would normally happen, but I could be wrong since next week is not a normal week... Fall trading officially heats up.

When do you see the market taking out May's highs?
 
Why go with one when you can buy the set in an ETF - there are a mess of them, several started just this year. PBE, XBI, IBB or FBT - aside from starting price they all look the same to me.
 
John-

When it comes to biotech, I agree with you.

ETF is the way to go.
 
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