Monday, January 22, 2007

 

Position Updates: HANS

Via Briefing:
(featured in this week's Barron's)
Energizing Hansen Natural - Barrons Online's Weekday Trader (37.08 )
Barron's Online reports investors in Hansen Natural turned fickle toward the No. 2 energy-drink co in last year's second half. But new growth initiatives could put some fizz back into the shares in 2007. Although the stock has bounced back somewhat, there is still upside potential of at least 20%, as Hansen starts to reap the benefits of a deal under which brewer Anheuser-Busch (BUD) will distribute its Monster Energy Drink, potentially providing deeper mkt penetration. Hansen also should benefit from new-product introductions, following a pause in its pipeline last year. In addition, the co is likely to emulate energy-drink leader Red Bull's recent decision to boost prices. Some speculate that the Anheuser relationship ultimately could lead to the St. Louis brewing giant to bid for the co. The beauty of Hansen's business model is that the co doesn't own any manufacturing facilities or make its own drinks. Instead, it relies on a network of producers and distributors with more efficient economies of scale to make, package and sell its products.
Via TheFlyontheWall.com:
U.S. Beverages: Not expecting big surprises during earnings season@JPMS JP Morgan believes KO is the most likely company to report a positive earnings surprise. They believe CCE could miss but notes 2007 guidance is more important. The firm is above the street on BUD and sees HANS as their top pick.

Comments:
Sell HANS north of 39 -- all the way up to 40. The Johnny-Come-Lately's who like to buy break outs will provide the necessary intertia to make a multi-week high coupled with some covering by nervous shorts who been piling on over the last week or so giving you the opportunity to take profits in this winner. Nice call Broker A but like MVIS -- time to ring the register.

Kidstock
 
Broker I got in with you on HANS and sold two weeks ago at 38.40. This shit is selling like crazy at Costco and I actually bought some of the soda this weekend. Good shit really, I like it. I would like to re-buy my shares on any decent dip as I think they will perform well this year. Guess we will see.
 
Kidstock-

Are you, let me guess, a bear?

Good luck on that margin call.
 
Broker A: I see that NGAS which you dumped a couple of weeks ago (it did suck but we finally have have some cold weather) has been pretty much up a straight line the last ten days or so could be busting out. Time to buy again?
 
I'd rather be in GMXR. They both have almost identical production numbers--but GMXR trades better.

Plus, I'm still in GMXR.
 
Goldman bullish on oils:

Six reasons to overweight Energy stocks - Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs believes there are six reasons to overweight Energy stocks: 1) global oil demand will exceed supply for the next two years, 2) geopolitical risk to supply, 3) fastest dividend growth in the S&P 500 through 2009, 4) potential mutual fund flows into Energy stocks to close underweight positions, 5) attractive valuation, and 6) sector offers best upside to firm's target prices. Firm also thinks that the bear case centers on what they believe are more transitory issues.
 
Mr. Fly,

I am not a bear nor a bull, I am agnostic. I like your energy holdings and think you are well positioned there. Regarding HANS, any move towards the top of that gap down on massive volume back in early August will bring out the sellers 'en masse. Those island formations (May 06 to Aug 06) often become major technical hurdles for extended periods of time.

Good luck today.
 
But,but,but...

HANS is your Grand Daddies KO.
 
The Tout, er the Fly, will be selling while you lemmings are buying. LMAO
 
Fuck off- fucker.
 
The lack of strength in HANS is suspect. I would be a seller on any move above today's intraday high.

Kidstock

(b.t.w. I am not the anonymous calling you a tout)
 
When did YHOO send all of the idiots over here Broker? My god people stop posting idiotic crap on here. Fuck. Next thing you know they will be posting political shit on here like they do on the Yahoo boards.
 
Listen Fucktard,

This is not business school where everything is nice-nice. Aren't these blogs supposed to be used a medium for idea exchange? No doubt that Fly is good but what is wrong with debating the other side of a trade. Is is possible to be civil and debate our differing opinions? I am attempting to do that...

Kidstock
 
Kidstock, those comments were not toward you, they were to the other fucking idiots that were posting non-sense just attacking broker.
 
As Todd-o would say...it's looking kinda Melty out there. AAPL in freefall is not a good tell.

Kidstock
 
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