Monday, April 30, 2007

 

Position Updates: CENX, BWLD, HANS, INSM, NTRI, WGAT, CORS, AAPL, FMCN, MVIS, NYX

In an effort to update the strange people from the internets, I have complied a short list of some my positions, in order to give a quick viewpoint.

Should you want more information from "The Fly" on any of the following stocks, fuck off. He is too busy drinking Monster Energy soda, while blasting his music--until the paintings on the wall fall off.

CENX: Not thoroughly impressed with the last earnings report. I sold some and will likely sell my entire position, above $50.

BWLD: I love the company and will hold my core position-- for years to come. However, I am not expecting a blow out earnings report-- due tomorrow.

HANS: This is probably one of the most undervalued high growth stocks out there. Their BUD distribution agreement should give the stock a new leg up-- into the low 50's.

INSM: Dice roll. Good clinical data/ horrible balance sheet. It's a trade.

NTRI: Compared to its peers, the stock is very cheap. If their EPS estimates are accurate, the stock should trade up to $105, by next year.

WGAT: Great product/lousy balance sheet. Should they ink a deal with a major Telco, the stock can double, then double again. In other words, it is a speculative trade.

CORS: I fucking hate this stock. However, I will ride out the housing disaster in this stock, providing they keep the big dividend in place.

AAPL: This stock embodies the market. Undoubtedly, if they deliver with the iPHONE, the stock is heading for $120.

FMCN: "The Fly's" favorite China stock.

MVIS: Great concept stock with massive potential and appeal. With an 11% short position, coupled with the likelihood that the company will partner with a major cell phone manufacturer soon, "The Fly" likes the risk/reward ratio-- at these levels.

NYX: Although I have reduced my position in the stock, at current levels, the stock is now attractive. Providing the market stays vibrant, the stock should do well. However, the shares may pause, during the summer months, as volume dries up.

NOTE: This is not my "entire portfolio." This is a small portion of "The Fly's" vast holdings.

Comments:
I like what I've read, however I'm adding a shot of QID. Both father markets (gay lovers) are ready to give it bitch style.
 
Wow, great stuff. I heard the market treating you well. Keep it up.
 
thanks for placating the masses.
 
well it looks like the shockingly obvious may be about to happen...

my favorite plays for any pullback will be SDS/MZZ rather than tech or largecap ETFs, and my favorite shorts are the bullshit solar stocks, meaning TSL, JASO, SOLF, FSLR, ESLR. And then finance guys...

Also, I'm almost embarrassed to ask, but does anyone else like TASR long here? I think they have a great future fundamentally, and they seem to have almost stopped tripping over themselves.
 
Do you have any ADY left? I saw you sold some awhile back, but wasn't sure if you still had any.
 
no more ADY.
 
Jerome:

What about shorting the IWM? Small caps are grossly overvalued and not nearly as attractive in a weak dollar environment.
 
totally agree, and i misspoke - I meant SDD, not SDS. SDD is 200% short small cap 600. So, like leveraged short of IWM. SDS is leveraged short S&P500. I also own RYWBX for short dollar.

Actually, I'm not a big shorter. I'm still net long, just not in US companies at the moment.
 
actually, you can see the anti-smallcap bias today:

TWM +4.31%
SDD +3.24
SDS +2.30

the smaller the company, the harder it got spanked.
 
Ride out the housing disaster? Sometimes a sector is broken.
 
"my favorite plays for any pullback will be SDS/MZZ rather than tech or largecap ETFs, and my favorite shorts are the bullshit solar stocks, meaning TSL, JASO, SOLF, FSLR, ESLR. And then finance guys..."

I'm ashamed to say I own JASO.
 
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